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Volume 2,Issue 7

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20 May 2026

逆境中基金经理的投资能力与风险管控研究
—— 以开放式偏股型公募基金为例

晓晖 王1 林 许2
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1 广东财经大学 经济学院, 中国
2 华南理工大学 经济与金融学院, 中国
© 2026 by the Author(s). Licensee Art and Technology, USA. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution -Noncommercial 4.0 International License (CC BY-NC 4.0) ( https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/ )
Abstract

基金经理能否在逆境中创造价值、控制风险,是衡量其投资能力的关键。本文基于438只开放式偏股型公募基金的季度数据为样本,采用逆境收益率衡量基金经理逆境投资能力,并通过构建基金经理独立投资能力这一中介变量,实证考察了逆境投资能力对基金净值暴跌风险的影响机制。研究发现:首先,基金经理逆境投资能力与基金业绩呈显著正相关,与净值暴跌风险呈显著负相关;其次,中介效应检验表明,独立投资能力在逆境投资能力影响暴跌风险的过程中发挥显著的中介作用。本研究结论为投资者甄选基金产品、评估基金经理真实能力提供了重要的决策参考。

Keywords
逆境投资能力
净值暴跌风险
独立投资能力
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